UK AI Job-Risk Index · SOC 2010 8212
Ranks #260 of 293 for AI exposure (1 = most exposed)
How exposed to AI are van drivers?
13/100
AI exposure score (percentile across all 365 occupations DfE scored)
Very low#260
of 293 UK occupations (1 = most exposed)
£22,654
median full-time pay (ONS ASHE 2020) · 258,000 employee jobs
Van drivers sits in the very low exposure band: its abilities overlap with current AI applications more than about 13% of the 365 UK occupations the Department for Education scored. Lower exposure usually means more of the work depends on physical, practical or in-person abilities that current AI applications do not cover well. It does not mean the job will be untouched by technology.
Underlying scores: AIOE (all AI) -1.31, LLM exposure -1.40 (standardised; 0 is the average occupation). Skill level: Level 2. Pay and job counts are 2020 figures, so use them to compare occupations rather than as current salaries.
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Job titles in this occupation
Titles the ONS SOC 2010 coding index places in unit group 8212. If your job title is here, this page uses the right figures for you.
carman · driver · van driver · coal leader · deliveryman · motor driver · driver-packer · egg collector · packer-driver · porter-driver · courier driver · courier-driver · driver-courier · sack collector · delivery driver · despatch driver · driver-storeman · recovery driver · storeman-driver · warehouse driver · multi-drop driver · driver-warehouseman · warehouseman-driver
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Lower-risk related jobs
Occupations in the same SOC 2010 sub-major group with a lower AI exposure score, highest-paid first. Pay difference is against £22,654 (ONS ASHE 2020 median, full-time). Switching usually needs retraining; this is a starting point, not advice.
| Occupation | Exposure | Median pay | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Large goods vehicle drivers | 8/100 | £30,820 | +£8,166 |
| Mobile machine drivers and operatives n.e.c. | 10/100 | £30,463 | +£7,809 |
| Fork-lift truck drivers | 4/100 | £25,741 | +£3,087 |
Occupations with similar exposure
- Welding trades (13/100)
- Rail construction and maintenance operatives (12/100)
- Sheet metal workers (12/100)
- Groundsmen and greenkeepers (12/100)
← #259 Plant and machine operatives n.e.c. · #261 Welding trades →
FAQ: Van drivers and AI
Will AI replace van drivers?
The index does not predict job losses. Van drivers has an AI exposure score of 13/100 (very low band), ranking #260 of 293 UK occupations, where 1 is the most exposed. Lower exposure means more of the work relies on abilities current AI applications cover less well.
How does this compare with similar jobs?
Van drivers is one of 10 occupations in its SOC 2010 sub-major group in the index; 6 of the others are more exposed to AI.
How much do van drivers earn?
Median gross annual pay for full-time employees was £22,654 in ONS ASHE 2020 (Table 14), across about 258,000 employee jobs. These are 2020 figures, so use them to compare jobs rather than as current salaries.
Which related jobs are less exposed to AI?
In the same sub-major group, lower-exposure occupations include Large goods vehicle drivers (8/100, £30,820), Mobile machine drivers and operatives n.e.c. (10/100, £30,463), Fork-lift truck drivers (4/100, £25,741).
Where does this data come from?
AI exposure uses Department for Education (2023) AI Occupational Exposure (AIOE) scores; pay and job counts come from ONS ASHE 2020. Job titles come from the ONS SOC 2010 coding index.
Source: Department for Education (2023), The impact of AI on UK jobs and training (AIOE scores); ONS ASHE 2020 Table 14; job titles from the ONS SOC 2010 coding index (v7). Exposure is not a prediction of job loss. Methodology · Embed this data
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